Pete Hegseth’s last-minute decision to cancel the deployment of 4,000 troops to Poland caught Pentagon staff and European allies by surprise — the latest example of an abrupt personnel move from the Defense secretary that blindsided both sides of the Atlantic.
It wasn’t clear exactly why Hegseth issued the order, according to three defense officials familiar with the matter. President Donald Trump has repeatedly expressed anger and frustration with European allies for their failure to help with the Iran war, although Trump has labeled Poland a “model ally” for its high defense spending.
The decision was even more surprising because troops and equipment had already started to arrive in the country. It sent fresh waves of anxiety through European capitals and inside the Pentagon on Thursday about whether such moves could embolden Russia — and which ally might turn into the next target.
Since this is Springer’s Politico, the US very likely want to do what the article presents: seed uncertainty. What I would like to know is the size of the imbalence between Russia and the EU. How big is the threat if not only the US but the entire Nato doesn’t support us? A second relevant information would be the power of Canada, Türkiye and UK to know if Nato without the US could take on Russia.
Any individual NATO member state can stand up to Russia on their own, they can’t even finish their 3 day job in Ukraine.
that’s immaterial however as NATO will absolutely not abandon Poland even if the USA does
Russia overstretched during that initial attack, but they are acting more competently now. They are currently advancing (slower than a snail, but still) against more firepower than almost all NATO members would be able to muster individually. Half of all NATO countries would be running out of suitable personnel too at Ukraine’s rate of attrition if they were on their own.
But yeah, the EU or NATO minus the US would still be more than capable of holding Russia back.
Yes, I think we would all be in for a rude awakening, but yes

Only in reverse.



